Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-2
Slovan Liberec vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 1
SLP
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 0
FCS
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 2
SLI
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 1
SLI
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 1
PRI
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 0
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZUR
3 - 2
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SIO
4 - 2
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |