Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-6
Slovan Liberec vs FC Astra Giurgiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 0
PRI
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
SLI
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ESK
1 - 1
SLI
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SLI
3 - 0
KOS
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
KOS
0 - 1
SLI
34%
25%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AST
5 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
SLI
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
AST
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AST
44%
23%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
STB
0 - 0
AST
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |