Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-1
Slovan Liberec vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MBO
3 - 0
SLI
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 2
SLI
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SLI
3 - 1
BIS
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SGD
3 - 1
SLI
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 1
SLO
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SKN
2 - 1
AWM
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 2
SLI
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
AWM
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 2
AWM
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 4
AWM
4%
11%
85%
|
76 | 27 | 49 | 0 |