UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-1
Slovan Bratislava vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
DAC
0 - 3
SBR
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 1
DUB
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 0
TNV
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TAT
0 - 2
SBR
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 3
ZIL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
TOB
1 - 0
VOS
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TOB
1 - 2
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
KAI
0 - 0
TOB
23%
27%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TOB
3 - 0
KAI
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 0
TOB
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |