UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-1
Slovan Bratislava vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
4 - 1
RAP
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 0
PLO
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 1
OLI
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 0
UCL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SBR
0 - 1
POD
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
JEU
1 - 1
SWI
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 6
SWI
17%
22%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 6
SWI
9%
18%
73%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |