UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 6-3
Slovan Bratislava vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GYI
1 - 0
SBR
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 0
PET
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
SBR
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 5
SBR
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 0
SBR
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
LLA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCS
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 4
TIK
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
SHK
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |