Sloga Mravince vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
8º
14º
10º
27
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloga Mravince
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NER
1 - 2
SMR
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 3
HNK
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NKG
0 - 0
SMR
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 1
ZAG
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOD
1 - 1
SMR
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNK
10%
19%
71%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
4 - 0
KAM
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NER
0 - 0
SPL
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
1 - 0
MAK
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 1
SPL
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |