Sloga Meridian vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
10º
6º
22
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 1
IGM
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SIR
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 0
SLO
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 2
GOS
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
ZBE
59%
23%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 0
VEL
14%
24%
63%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
ZBE
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 1
SLO
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |