Sloga Meridian vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
9º
45
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZEL
4 - 1
SLO
71%
20%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZEL
19%
25%
57%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
SLO
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 3
VEL
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 3
ZRI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
BBL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |