Sloga Meridian vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
9º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 1
SLO
33%
27%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BBL
2 - 1
SLO
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 1
SLO
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SLO
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZRI
19%
27%
55%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
BBL
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |