Sloboda Tuzla vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
12º
12º
65
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KRU
1 - 1
SLO
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SLO
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 3
SLO
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
SLO
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
SAR
6%
14%
80%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
IGM
0 - 3
SAR
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 0
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 3
SAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
ZEL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |