Sliema Wanderers vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LIJ
0 - 4
SLI
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SLI
3 - 1
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
MSI
1 - 2
SLI
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SLI
1 - 3
BIR
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FBK
4 - 1
SLI
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ZAB
0 - 2
FLO
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
PIE
4 - 0
ZAB
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
ZAB
0 - 1
HIB
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 0
ZAB
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ZAB
2 - 1
RAB
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |