Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 0-3
Sliema Wanderers vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
HNS
0 - 0
SLI
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
QOR
3 - 0
SLI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
SLI
3 - 0
HIB
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
SLI
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SLI
2 - 0
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
HNS
0 - 0
SLI
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MEI
4 - 0
HNS
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HNS
2 - 1
DZG
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
HNS
0 - 2
HKS
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
KAR
0 - 2
HNS
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |