Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-3
Sliema Wanderers vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
SLI
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 3
SLI
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 0
MOS
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
6 - 0
SLI
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 1
BAL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FTC
2 - 0
PAK
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SZO
0 - 1
FTC
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FTC
2 - 1
DIO
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 1
FTC
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DIO
1 - 1
FTC
34%
24%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |