UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 3-3
Sliema Wanderers vs Skonto Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
SLI
0 - 2
BIR
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BIR
0 - 0
SLI
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2003 |
SLI
0 - 2
VAL
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
HIB
5 - 1
SLI
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
PIE
1 - 2
SLI
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
FCS
4 - 0
AUD
91%
7%
2%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 2
FCS
13%
17%
70%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 0
FCS
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FKR
0 - 2
FCS
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
FCS
2 - 1
VEN
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |