Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-4
Slavia Sofia vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LPL
2 - 4
SSO
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
HKS
1 - 0
SSO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SSO
1 - 1
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SSO
2 - 1
ILV
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
ILV
0 - 1
SSO
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
OSI
4 - 1
HKS
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
HKS
1 - 0
SSO
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
HKS
4 - 0
FCR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RUD
1 - 1
HKS
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
HKS
4 - 0
GÓR
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |