UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 3-1
Slavia Praha vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SLP
1 - 0
ZBR
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ESK
1 - 2
SLP
28%
27%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLP
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SLP
2 - 0
SKK
73%
19%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
SLP
0 - 0
ZIL
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 8
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLP
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |