Slagelse vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slagelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
SLA
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SLA
4 - 0
OTB
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 3
SLA
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SLA
4 - 4
KOL
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SLA
2 - 2
NAE
52%
21%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 1
KFU
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 5
AAR
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 3
TAA
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
KRA
4 - 1
AAR
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 2
SCE
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |