SKN St. Polten vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 2
SKN
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SKN
2 - 2
ALT
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
SVH
1 - 0
SKN
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
SKN
5 - 4
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
RIE
1 - 2
SKN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
WIE
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WOL
0 - 1
STR
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
RIE
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 2
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AWM
0 - 1
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |