Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-4
SKN St. Polten vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
4 - 0
SKN
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
SKN
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
KAP
2 - 2
SKN
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SKN
2 - 0
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
SKN
3 - 0
SVH
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BOS
1 - 0
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
SKN
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 2
PSV
34%
24%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
SKN
0 - 1
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |