SKN St. Polten vs Austria Wien II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
7º
3º
29
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
0 - 1
SKN
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SKN
0 - 0
GRA
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VOR
0 - 1
SKN
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 3
AMS
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 1
SKN
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 5
AMS
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIE
0 - 1
AUS
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRA
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 1
AUS
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SVL
2 - 0
AUS
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |