Skjervøy vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
5º
29
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skjervøy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
4 - 1
SIK
84%
12%
5%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
1 - 0
NOR
18%
19%
64%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
2 - 3
OPP
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 1
SIK
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
5 - 1
KFU
56%
20%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
SKA
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MJO
4 - 1
SAR
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
TRO
41%
20%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SKE
2 - 3
SAR
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
FLO
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |