Skive vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SKI
2 - 2
FA2
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 1
SKI
68%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 2
AAF
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 1
SKI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ODD
0 - 1
SKI
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THI
1 - 3
AAF
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ESB
5 - 1
THI
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
THI
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
THI
1 - 3
MID
24%
25%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
THI
4 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |