Skive vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
THI
3 - 0
SKI
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 0
AKA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
3 - 3
SKI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
THI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 1
LYN
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
AGF
46%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
BIF
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
AGF
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFF
1 - 1
AGF
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |