Skive vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
6º
5º
60
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
51 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
NAE
1 - 3
SKI
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
BFR
1 - 1
SKI
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 3
AKA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
SKI
0 - 1
BFR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
SKI
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
AAF
0 - 0
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
AKA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAE
0 - 3
AAF
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
MID
0 - 0
AAF
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
SKI
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |