Skill vs Athletic & Running Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1901 |
SFC
4 - 2
VER
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1901 |
BRU
5 - 0
SFC
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1901 |
CER
1 - 1
SFC
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1901 |
SFC
2 - 3
LEO
35%
24%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1900 |
VER
3 - 2
SFC
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic & Running Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1901 |
ARB
9 - 0
BRU
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1901 |
CER
3 - 3
ARB
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1901 |
ARB
5 - 0
LIE
31%
23%
47%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1901 |
BEE
1 - 0
ARB
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1901 |
ARB
1 - 1
LEO
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |