Skill vs Athletic & Running Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1899 |
SFC
1 - 3
LIE
23%
22%
54%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1899 |
LEO
3 - 1
SFC
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic & Running Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1899 |
ARB
4 - 1
RRB
29%
23%
49%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1899 |
ARB
5 - 0
ANT
39%
22%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 1899 |
LEO
1 - 1
ARB
49%
20%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1899 |
ARB
2 - 5
LIE
26%
23%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1899 |
ARB
3 - 0
RRB
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |