Skewen Athletic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skewen Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
SKE
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
SKE
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SKE
2 - 4
MAE
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
GWY
0 - 0
SKE
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SKE
1 - 1
NFC
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
DIN
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 3
SKE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |