KF Shkëndija vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
2º
1º
34
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
DEP
0 - 1
SHK
10%
15%
75%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHK
4 - 2
SIL
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
SHK
23%
27%
51%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SHK
2 - 3
DYN
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
SKN
1 - 0
SHK
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TIK
1 - 2
PEL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SIL
1 - 1
TIK
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
KGE
1 - 0
TIK
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TIK
0 - 0
ZEM
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |