Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-1
KF Shkëndija vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SHK
1 - 0
FKN
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
FKN
0 - 0
SHK
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 2
SHK
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
SHK
2 - 0
CRA
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 1
SHK
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 3
MBO
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 3
MBO
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
MBO
1 - 2
PUS
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MBO
2 - 0
POD
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MBO
2 - 1
TRE
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |