KF Shkëndija vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
SHK
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
MAK
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
SHK
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 1
TIK
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
SIL
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 3
FCS
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
72%
20%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
FCS
16%
27%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |