Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-3
KF Skënderbeu vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Skënderbeu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MBO
2 - 1
KFS
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
KFS
2 - 0
KAI
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
KAI
1 - 1
KFS
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
SJU
0 - 5
KFS
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
KFS
1 - 0
SJU
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MBO
1 - 2
SIG
66%
19%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MBO
2 - 1
KFS
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
MBO
2 - 0
SHR
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SHR
2 - 3
MBO
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
STR
2 - 0
MBO
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |