Skellefteå vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
4º
22
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skellefteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GIF
0 - 2
SKE
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 0
IFK
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
THO
2 - 2
SKE
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KFF
0 - 3
SKE
13%
17%
70%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 0
FIF
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 0
KFF
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FIF
6 - 2
LUC
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 4
BER
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
4 - 0
IFK
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +7 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THO
7 - 1
LUC
87%
8%
4%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |