Skeid vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skeid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SKE
2 - 2
FYL
75%
15%
9%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
OST
0 - 1
SKE
18%
20%
61%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 2
SKE
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SKE
1 - 1
ROS
56%
21%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MOL
3 - 1
SKE
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIF
3 - 2
FFK
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LYN
1 - 2
VIF
25%
23%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BBS
1 - 2
VIF
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
VIF
0 - 2
SOG
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LSK
1 - 1
VIF
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |