Skanstes vs Augšdaugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
10º
6º
6
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FSM
10 - 1
SKA
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 3
SMI
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 0
SKA
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
SKA
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 2
SKA
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
PPK
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
AUG
76%
14%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DAL
0 - 1
AUG
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AUG
3 - 2
FJR
4%
11%
85%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
OUD
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |