SK St. Johann vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
3º
23
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KUN
1 - 3
STJ
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 4
STJ
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
IAC
0 - 0
STJ
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 4
WAT
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 5
STJ
46%
23%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
TEL
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 1
IAC
50%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
WAT
5 - 2
WOR
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
5 - 3
WOR
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
6 - 0
WOR
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |