Kosmonosy vs Hlinsko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
16º
7º
34
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kosmonosy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
KOS
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LET
0 - 3
KOS
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KOS
1 - 1
DOB
49%
20%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UST
3 - 1
KOS
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOS
3 - 2
RMS
64%
17%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hlinsko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HFK
3 - 2
LET
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DOB
1 - 1
HFK
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HFK
1 - 2
UST
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RMS
1 - 1
HFK
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HFK
1 - 0
CHR
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |