Grembergen vs Excelsior Mariakerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
54.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
15º
15º
31
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grembergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
GBG
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GBG
0 - 3
MAL
27%
21%
53%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
GBG
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EEN
1 - 0
GBG
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GBG
1 - 3
KTB
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KSC
1 - 3
EEN
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KTB
1 - 1
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KSC
1 - 3
SKM
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 2
KSC
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 0
KSC
71%
16%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |