Ebbs vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
8º
23
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 0
EBB
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 0
EBB
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 2
KIT
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WAT
6 - 0
EBB
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
EBB
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
FUG
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 5
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
KUN
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
VOL
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IAC
0 - 3
WOR
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |