UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-5
Dnipro-1 vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnipro-1
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SKD
2 - 2
HKR
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SKD
4 - 0
RYV
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SKD
1 - 0
MET
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SKD
4 - 0
MIN
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SKD
4 - 1
FKC
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 1
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 1
HBS
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
CSK
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
PAN
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |