Sivasspor Reservas vs Fatih Karagümrük Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
14º
14º
6
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 83 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 69 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 63 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 61 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 60 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 58 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 57 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 52 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 47 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 45 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 42 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 37 |
17º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 33 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 27 |
19º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivasspor Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
BJK
2 - 1
SIV
60%
19%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SIV
2 - 0
ALA
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ADA
3 - 1
SIV
53%
21%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SIV
1 - 1
GFK
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 0
ANK
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BJK
1 - 0
FAT
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 0
ALA
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |