Sitomir vs Pavlikeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sitomir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ABS
0 - 3
SIT
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASV
2 - 1
SIT
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOD
4 - 1
SIT
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SIT
3 - 2
OFK
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 3
TOB
42%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 1
CHA
17%
24%
58%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAV
73%
16%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 0
YAN
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PAV
4 - 0
BAB
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 4
GIG
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |