Sitatunga vs ASPAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sitatunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
UPI
2 - 0
SFC
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 0
DRA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SEM
1 - 2
SFC
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 2
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 2
SFC
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
ASP
35%
29%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 1
UPI
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 0
SEM
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
ASP
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |