Sistrells A vs Alzamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sistrells A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BES
4 - 2
SIS
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SIS
1 - 1
GOT
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LSB
3 - 2
SIS
37%
19%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SIS
3 - 3
AUD
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GOR
2 - 5
SIS
41%
20%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alzamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ALZ
2 - 2
ACG
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALZ
2 - 2
TUP
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
ALZ
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALZ
1 - 2
CER
38%
22%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 4
ALZ
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |