Siruela vs Esparragosa de Lares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
53.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+259%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PGA
1 - 4
SIR
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 2
SIR
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 3
SIR
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 6
FMO
17%
19%
63%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Esparragosa de Lares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ELA
5 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PUL
1 - 0
ELA
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ELA
3 - 3
FMO
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
ELA
65%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ELA
8 - 0
PGA
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |