UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 0-3
Siroki Brijeg vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
SIR
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
SIR
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
SHA
0 - 1
SIR
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SIR
0 - 1
ZEP
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAR
3 - 0
SIR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
SIR
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |