Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-0
Siroki Brijeg vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FKQ
0 - 2
SIR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
OSA
0 - 0
SIR
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SIR
2 - 0
ČEL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 4
SIR
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SIR
3 - 0
BBL
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FKQ
0 - 2
SIR
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FKN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
FKQ
3 - 1
SUM
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKQ
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
FKQ
3 - 1
FKB
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |