Siroco vs CS Capesterre Bell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
8º
3º
1
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
CBM
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
SIR
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
VIE
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
SIR
22%
21%
58%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
RSG
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CS Capesterre Bell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 10
ASD
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JUV
6 - 0
CSC
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 5
STL
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GOU
3 - 1
CSC
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
SIR
22%
21%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |