Siroco vs Rey Fernando de Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+918%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
SIR
48%
20%
32%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 3
ARA
39%
20%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 5
SIR
45%
19%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 3
FID
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FCD
5 - 3
SIR
44%
21%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rey Fernando de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
SDJ
17%
17%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CLM
0 - 3
RFA
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LUA
0 - 1
RFA
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 2
CDP
61%
18%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
RFA
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |