Siroco vs Rey Fernando de Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SIR
2 - 3
MOL
32%
20%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAD
3 - 1
SIR
56%
19%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SIR
0 - 2
AZA
25%
18%
57%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
5 - 2
SIR
71%
15%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SIR
1 - 7
RCH
18%
17%
65%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rey Fernando de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RFA
3 - 3
MOL
38%
21%
41%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RFA
2 - 2
HOR
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RFA
2 - 0
RCH
13%
13%
74%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CCD
3 - 0
RFA
71%
15%
14%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RFA
1 - 0
PEN
48%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |